Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.75
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.15	3.2	3.7
	2.11	3.15	3.45
	2.15	3.26	3.81
	2.1	3.2	3.6
	2.12	3.36	3.75	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.66 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
44.7%

Draw
29.4%

Lincoln City
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	25%	18.7%

Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (11.06%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lincoln has the most likely position - 16 (8.98%), has project points - 57, has currently - 29, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 29, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2.

Recent matches MK Dons is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lincoln is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

MK Dons will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
01.01.23	Plymouth Argyle - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
29.12.22	Peterborough United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:3 ✺
English League One
17.12.22	Portsmouth - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLW
- Lincoln City
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	2:3 pen. ✺
English League One
07.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
30.12.22	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	2:1
26.12.21	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3
13.04.21	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:0
19.09.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	1:2
11.02.20	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
20.08.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	2:1
English League Two
06.04.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Lincoln City	0:2

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