Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Milton Keynes Dons		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.3	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.34	3.8	2.73
	2.3	3.8	2.73
	2.05	3.5	2.88
	2.35	3.44	2.74
	2.28	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.06)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
40.6%

Draw
25.8%

Northampton Town
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Milton Keynes Dons - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kelly M. (G) 3. Lewington D. (C) 26. Stewart A. 19. Ilunga B. 23. Anker J. 98. Wood A. 35. Waller C. 20. Burns D. 99. Lewis-Burgess K. 30. Dennis M. 28. Devoy D.	26. Thompson M. (G) 5. Guthrie J. (C) 22. Odimayo A. 12. Monthe E. 24. Haynes R. 14. Koiki A. 23. Hondermarck W. 41. Wyatt R. 20. Lintott H. 9. Appere L. 16. Simpson T.
Substitutes
96. Bedford J. 97. Boyce K. 95. Chase Medwynter 94. Clark-Anderson J. 91. Edwin Daffern 93. Medwynter C. 92. Silver R.	43. Cartwright T. (G) 36. Dadge J. (G) 40. Dobson N. 35. Dyche M. 38. Hart J. 39. Ireland M. 37. Scott J.
Coaches
Williamson M.	Brady J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 3.

Recent matches MK Dons is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Northampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-23.

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
11.11.23	Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Reading - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Bradford City	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWL
- Northampton Town
English League One
11.11.23	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Northampton Town - Barrow	1:3 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Derby County - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Northampton Town	1:3
English League One
20.02.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Northampton Town	4:3
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2
English League One
03.11.20	Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0
English EFL Trophy
08.09.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Northampton Town	3:1
Club Friendly
26.07.19	Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:1
English League Two
29.12.18	Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2

Upcoming Matches