Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Milton Keynes Dons		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	5
	1.65	4	4.6
	1.7	4.15	4.5
	1.66	3.95	4.5
	1.68	4.25	4.83
	1.67	3.8	4.5
	1.72	4.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	4.06 ↑ (4)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
56.4%

Draw
23.3%

Rochdale
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Rochdale is Relegated to League Two

MK Dons has the most likely position - 9 (32.89%), has project points - 67, has currently - 65, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Rochdale has the most likely position - 21 (82.57%), has project points - 45, has currently - 44, was already of relegated.

MK Dons is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match MK Dons is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
01.05.21	Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	5:0 ✺
20.04.21	Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
17.04.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
13.04.21	Lincoln City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWL
- Rochdale AFC
English League One
01.05.21	Rochdale - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
27.04.21	AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale	3:3 ✺
24.04.21	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
20.04.21	Rochdale - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	Rochdale - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.02.21	Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4
28.01.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Rochdale	2:1
22.10.19	Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0
21.02.18	Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0
16.09.17	Milton Keynes Dons - Rochdale	3:2
11.03.17	Milton Keynes Dons - Rochdale	2:2
20.08.16	Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1

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