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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 46.1%
Draw 23.8%
Sutton United 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
24.1%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
23.4%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.
Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutton United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutton United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
10%
20%
Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Kelly M. (G) 4. Tucker J. 5. O'Hora W. 21. Harvie D. 29. Lofthouse K. 11. Payne J. 50. Bate L. 14. Tomlinson J. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 18. Dean M. 24. Wearne S.
25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 10. Beautyman H. 38. Sanderson O. 31. Lakin C. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
9. Harrison E. 27. Kemp D. 3. Lewington D. 33. Marschall F. (G) 2. Norman C. 17. Robson E. 22. Tezgel E.
16. Clay C. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 15. Eastmond C. 6. John L. 30. Kerbey M. 27. Moore D.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Morison S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Payne J. ⚽, Dean M. (A),
31', Coley J. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Dean M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Sanderson O. ↓, Eastmond C. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
56', Wearne S. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
56', Dean M. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽,
62', Tomlinson J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
62', Gilbey A. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Lakin C. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
65', Eastmond C. 🟨,
67', O'Hora W. 🟨,
67', Hart S. 🟨,
70', 4 - 2, Harrison E. ⚽, Tezgel E. (A),
74', Jackson R. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
74', Lofthouse K. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
74', Beautyman H. ↓, Fadahunsi T. ↑,
75', 4 - 3, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Fadahunsi T. (A),
90+1', 4 - 4, Smith H. ⚽, Duke-McKenna S. (A),
90+7', Harrison E. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
MK Dons is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Sutton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
MK Dons will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Watch
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Kelly M. (G) 
Tucker J. 
Harvie D. 
Harrison E. 
Marschall F. (G) 
Duke-McKenna S. 
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