Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno


	Modena		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.12
	3.82	3.34	2.14
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.55	3.38	2.11	Watch
	3.45	3.25	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
26.6%

Draw
28.8%

Parma
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	12.5%	83.3%

Modena - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Parma will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seculin A. (G) 33. Cauz C. 19. Zaro G. 27. Riccio A. 3. Ponsi F. 5. Palumbo A. 16. Gerli F. 23. Battistella T. 91. Corrado N. 90. Abiuso F. 9. Gliozzi E.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 3. Osorio Y. (C) 4. Balogh B. 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Estevez N. 19. Sohm S. 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 28. Mihaila V. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
30. Bozhanaj K. 29. Cotali M. 26. Gagno R. (G) 21. Giovannini R. 6. Magnino L. 42. Mondele L. 32. Strizzolo L. 10. Tremolada L. 22. Vandelli F. (G) 24. Vukusic R.	11. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 23. Camara D. 39. Circati A. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 64. Cyprien W. 20. Hainaut A. 27. Hernani 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Pecchia F.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Modena is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Parma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Modena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Parma will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
20.01.24	Palermo - Modena	4:2 ✺
13.01.24	Modena - Brescia	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Spezia - Modena	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Cremonese - Modena	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Modena - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
19.01.24	Sampdoria - Parma	0:3 ✺
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Parma - Modena	1:1
14.04.23	Modena - Parma	1:1
26.11.22	Parma - Modena	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.16	Parma - Modena	3:1
27.08.16	Modena - Parma	0:0

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