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Current Win Probability
Groningen 58%
Draw 22.2%
Roda 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
21.1%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
20.8%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Groningen - Roda Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Roda will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 20. Blokzijl T. 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 14. Schreuders J. 7. Hove J. 6. Duarte L. 40. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 25. van Bergen T.
16. Raatsie C. (G) 44. Reith B. 3. Didden M. 4. Koglin B. 2. Muller J. P. 21. Kongolo R. (C) 15. Beerten L. 10. Ould Chikh W. 25. Ouaissa S. 11. Sejk V. 7. Pena Zauner E.
Substitutes
15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 47. de Jonge T. 57. Eggens N. 22. Emeran N. 18. Maatta I. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 4. Pelupessy J. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.
27. Bangura S. 5. Bijleveld T. 1. Bucker K. (G) 14. Daneels L. 17. Dzepar O. 29. Guclu M. 28. Krawczyk S. 13. Roseler N. 9. Schmid M. 6. Spieringhs W. 26. van der Heide A. 8. Vossebelt N.
Coaches
Lukkien D.
Sibum B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Koglin B. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Hove J. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),
44', Reith B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Schreuders J. ⚽,
60', Pena Zauner E. ↓, Daneels L. ↑,
61', Koglin B. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
63', Duarte L. 🟨,
72', Kongolo R. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
74', Schreuders J. 🟨,
77', Bijleveld T. ↓, Guclu M. ↑,
85', Valente L. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
86', Duarte L. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
90', Pelupessy J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1.
Now both teams are in good shape.
In this match Groningen is a favorite.
There will not play in Groningen: Valente L.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Roda: Koglin B.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.