Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	Nacional		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.25	6.5
	1.38	4	6.5
	1.37	4.4	6.8
	1.46	4.44	7.84
	1.47	3.9	6.5
	1.44	4.45	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)	4.23 ↓ (4.56)	6.76 ↓ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional
64.6%

Draw
21.7%

Deportivo Maldonado
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

11.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maldonado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Play Offs) and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Maldonado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.10.20	Boston River - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.10.20	Nacional - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.09.20	Nacional - Racing	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.09.20	Farense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.20	Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	4:2 ✺
13.09.20	Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro	1:0 ✺
10.09.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
06.09.20	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLW

Upcoming Matches