Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - APERTURA - ROUND 13

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)


	Nacional Montevideo		La Luz

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7	Watch
	1.41	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.44	4.81	7.33
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.4	4.55	7.1	Watch
	1.42	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	4.4 ↑ (3.97)	6.89 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
65.6%

Draw
21%

La Luz
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

23.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Nacional Montevideo - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 and 13).

Nacional in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches La Luz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently La Luz have a series of home games.

In this match Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.04.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Nacional Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.04.23	Nacional Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:0 ✺
09.04.23	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Metropolitanos - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTW
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.04.23	La Luz - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
17.04.23	La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado	4:2 ✺
10.04.23	La Luz - Boston River	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Cerro - La Luz	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	La Luz - Racing Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWTL

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