Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Peru	ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
World	Disney+


	Nacional Montevideo		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2	3.6	3.2
	2.59	3.41	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.62
	2.27	3.5	2.78	Watch
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.82 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
40.4%

Draw
26.9%

Olimpia Asuncion
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nacional Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Suarez I. (C) 31. Amaro J. 9. Damiani B. 34. Lopez N. 32. Mederos R. 29. Millan J. 19. Morales L. 22. Otero R. 18. Recoba J. 5. Rivero M. 27. Romero D.	1. Olveira G. (G) 5. Barreto Viera O. J. 9. Benedetto D. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 10. Gonzalez D. 32. Lopez E. 26. Maciel A. R. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 11. Redes R. 22. Rojas R. 36. Zabala F.
Substitutes
26. Arady B. 40. Capdevila D. (G) 28. Catarozzi F. 33. Chagas Rodrigo 4. Coates S. 14. Dos Santos A. 6. Echeverria J. 76. Herazo D. 7. Lopez N. 8. Oliva C. 23. Polenta D. 77. Rodriguez N.	15. Alfonzo A. 25. Arzamendia M. (G) 20. Bareiro A. 3. Benitez 30. Benitez H. 18. Dominguez J. 7. Fernandez H. 17. Gomez M. 29. Leguizamon I. 21. Olmedo C. 16. Paredes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Franco Zayas A. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barreto Viera O. J. ↓, Benitez ↑,
46', Olveira G. ↓, Arzamendia M. ↑,
46', Damiani B. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
46', Amaro J. ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
58', Millan J. ↓, Polenta D. ↑,
58', Otero R. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
58', Lopez N. ↓,
64', Rivero M. 🟨,
65', Benedetto D. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
65', Gonzalez D. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
65', Lopez E. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
65', Redes R. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
65', Ortiz R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
65', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
65', Zabala F. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
65', Rojas R. ↓, Olmedo C. ↑,
66', Benitez H. 🟨,
71', Recoba J. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
71', Mederos R. ↓, Rijo T. ↑,
80', Romero D. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Benitez H. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional have a series of home games.

Nacional will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Serie Rio de la Plata
13.01.25	Nacional Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.12.24	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.12.24	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
22.11.24	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTW
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.01.17	Nacional Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0

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