Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Nacional Potosí		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.4	3.81
	2.03	3.24	3.81
	1.91	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.01	3.32	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (3.38)	3.32 ↓ (3.57)	3.68 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
46.4%

Draw
28.2%

Boca Juniors
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.1%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Potosí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	3.7%	14.8%

Nacional Potosí - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 44 - 81.5%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 71.1% – 91.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mustafa S. (G) 23. Baldomar O. 2. Ortiz M. 6. Restrepo E. 5. Mancilla D. (C) 17. Guerra S. 15. Andia J. 16. Torrico A. 10. Galindo S. 19. Callejo F. 20. Prost M.	12. Brey L. (G) 40. Di Lollo L. 15. Valentini N. 38. Anselmino A. 3. Saracchi M. 47. Saralegui J. 45. Benitez M. 20. Ramirez J. 29. Briasco N. 9. Benedetto D. (C) 11. Janson L.
Substitutes
25. Adorno C. (G) 24. Alles G. 29. Alvarez W. 14. Anez O. 18. Azogue P. 13. Cabrera A. 9. Cristaldo G. 11. Duarte W. 3. Guerra J. 32. Leanos H. 8. Pavia L. 7. Romay K.	23. Blanco L. 5. Bullaude E. 49. Campuzano J. 50. Ceballos J. 43. Delgado M. 37. Diaz S. (G) 13. Garcia J. (G) 52. Molas W. 30. Rodriguez R. 39. Taborda V. 41. Zufiaurre I.
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Saralegui J. 🟨,
25', Andia J. 🟨,
44', Prost M. 🟨,
45+1', Benedetto D. (Pen),
45+3', Mancilla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guerra S. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
47', Ortiz M. 🟨,
63', Ramirez J. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
63', Janson L. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
63', Andia J. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
63', Torrico A. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
70', Anselmino A. 🟨,
73', Galindo S. ↓, Duarte W. ↑,
79', Saralegui J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
79', Benitez M. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
79', Briasco N. ↓, Molas W. A. ↑,
84', Brey L. 🟨,
86', Saracchi M. 🟨,
87', Prost M. ↓, Alles G. ↑,
90+4', Molas W. A. 🟨,

Preview

Nacional Potosí is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nacional Potosí will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Royal Pari	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.24	Boca Juniors - Central Norte	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.03.24	Boca Juniors - Racing	4:2 ✺
06.03.24	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches