Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Necaxa		Atlante

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	4.00
	1.90	3.60	3.75
	1.83	3.55	4.00
	1.95	3.75	3.91
	1.91	3.71	3.85	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.80
	1.89	3.56	3.80	Watch
	1.88	3.60	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.62 ↓ (3.81)	3.86 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
49.7%

Draw
26%

Atlante
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Necaxa - Atlante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Necaxa will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jimenez L. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 88. Vargas C. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 10. Ruiz J. 30. Monreal R. 9. Carranza J.	1. Jimenez O. (G) 6. Carrera J. N. (C) 4. Tercero E. 3. Sanchez L. 29. Portales W. 8. Pizzuto E. 25. Fernandez M. 27. Escobar A. 19. Calzadilla L. 7. Moxica J. 9. Puente L.
Substitutes
1. Andrade C. (G) 17. Cortez R. 21. Espindola M. 2. Martinez E. 20. Mendez F. 16. Pedraza P. 27. Pedroza M. 99. Rodriguez E. 90. Valencia J. 14. Zaleta M.	20. Adame G. 22. Barragan R. (G) 15. Charcopa J. 37. Clar W. 184. Coubert R. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez D. 21. Ibarra J. 17. Mejia L. 23. Padilla A.
Coaches
Varini M.	Herrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Martinez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Pizzuto E. ⚽, Calzadilla L. (A),
54', Oliveros A. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,
54', Vargas C. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
64', Escobar A. ↓, Clar W. ↑,
66', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
69', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
72', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
72', Calzadilla L. ↓, Mejia L. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Carranza J. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Faravelli L. ↓, Pedroza M. ↑,
83', Tercero E. ↓, Padilla A. ↑,
83', Puente L. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
86', Portales W. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Pedroza M. ⚽, Carranza J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5.

In this match, Necaxa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Necaxa: Badaloni T. (Transfer negotiations)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atlante	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
26.04.26	Cruz Azul - Necaxa	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Necaxa - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Querétaro - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Necaxa - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLW
- Atlante FC
Club Friendly
01.07.26	New Mexico United - Atlante	3:3 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Atlante - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Cancún - Atlante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.04.16	Necaxa - Atlante	3:2
27.04.16	Atlante - Necaxa	1:2
09.01.16	Necaxa - Atlante	2:1
24.07.15	Atlante - Necaxa	0:1
03.04.15	Atlante - Necaxa	0:1
08.11.14	Necaxa - Atlante	2:0
01.11.14	Atlante - Necaxa	2:1

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