#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 40.6%
Draw 26.6%
El Paso Locomotive 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
26.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
26.1%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 27. Howell M. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 19. Bailey Z. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 21. Noel V. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G. (C)
1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 18. Quezada A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 2. Cardona N. 12. Ruiz R. 30. Coronado R. 19. Mendez A. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 10. Moreno A. 8. Sainte C. F. 14. Rubin R.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 48. Gilchrist G. 9. Rennicks J. 16. Seymore W. 8. Vargas M. 54. Wente T. (G) 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
9. Abitia D. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 28. Mora O. 25. Ortiz A. 99. Romero A. (G) 93. Tony Alfaro 21. Twumasi K. 77. Villagomez J.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rubin R. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, LaCava J. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Jabang O. (A),
37', Ruiz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sainte C. F. ↓, Twumasi K. ↑,
46', Dollenmayer N. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
65', Shakes K. 🟨,
69', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
74', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
75', Harris D. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
75', Noel V. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
78', Sanchez D. 🟨,
80', Jabang O. 🟨,
82', Cardona N. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
85', Hurst G. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
85', Bailey Z. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Abitia D. ⚽,
89', Gomez D. 🟨,
90+2', Moreno A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
90+5', Archimede L. 🟨,
90+7', Mora O. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
New Mexico United - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.35%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
El Paso Locomotive - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
North-central-america
Usa
Watch
#ad
Shakes K. (G) 
Howell M. 
Hamalainen N. 
Bailey Z. 
Reid-Stephen N. 
Noel V. 
Harris D. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Mora-Mora S. (G) 
Dollenmayer N. 
Cardona N. 
Calvillo E. (C) 
Sainte C. F. 
Rubin R. 
Archimede L. 
Arozarena R. (G) 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
