Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Newells Old Boys		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	3.9	3.25	2.05
	3.95	3.21	2.13
	3.88	3.18	2.06	Watch
	3.8	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.65)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
24.6%

Draw
29.8%

River Plate
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

29.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.8%	88.2%

Newells Old Boys - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Newell's Old Boys has the most likely position - 11 (5.52%), project points - 39, currently - 18, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

River Plate has the most likely position - 1 (79.41%), project points - 59, currently - 27, a good chance of win league (79%).

This event has quality 46, importance 44, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Newell's Old Boys is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Newell's Old Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in Newell's Old Boys: Angel Bernal F. S. (Injury) Campagnaro M. (Injury) Gonzalez F. (Injury) Luciano M. (Injury) Vangioni L. (Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Kranevitter M. (Injury) Lopez E. (Injury) Martinez D. (Injury) Zuculini B. (Injury) de la Cruz N. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Newell's Old Boys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Audax Italiano - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
20.03.23	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWLW
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	0:3 ✺
31.03.23	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.08.22	River Plate - Newells Old Boys	4:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.02.22	Newells Old Boys - River Plate	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.21	Newells Old Boys - River Plate	1:4
09.09.12	River Plate - Newells Old Boys	3:3

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