Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Newport County		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.25	4.75	1.4
	7.15	4.45	1.48	Watch
	7.4	4.4	1.41
	7.09	4.41	1.49
	8.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	7.6	4.6	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.57 ↑ (6.9)	4.55 ↓ (4.58)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
12.6%

Draw
20.9%

Newcastle United
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.7%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

10.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-33.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Newport County - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Newport in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Newcastle is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
26.09.20	Bolton Wanderers - Newport County	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.20	Newport County - Watford	3:1 ✺
English League Two
19.09.20	Newport County - Barrow	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.20	Newport County - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
12.09.20	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWWT
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
27.09.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.20	Morecambe - Newcastle United	0:7 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.20	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.20	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.20	West Ham United - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWW

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