The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 17.8%
Draw 24.5%
Watford 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
23.9%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
14.5%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Watford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.7%
2.6%
73.7%
Newport County - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Watford will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 59.7% – 87.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.