The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 30.1%
Draw 24.5%
Barnsley 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33%
26%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
25.1%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
33.3%
55.6%
Northampton Town - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Barnsley will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 32.6% โ 78.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Northampton (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 26. McAdam K. 14. Fornah T. 4. Campbell D. 8. McGeehan C. 15. Evans J. 7. Hoskins S.
51. Flavell K. (G) 7. O'Keeffe C. 6. de Gevigney M. 15. O'Connell E. 32. Earl J. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 22. Kelly P. 10. McGoldrick D. 19. Cleary R. 9. Bradshaw T.
Substitutes
9. Eaves T. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 17. Jacobs M. 10. List E. 11. Swyer K. 23. Taylor T. 27. Vale J.
18. Banks S. 39. Farrell L. 17. Gent G. 1. Goodman O. (G) 50. Nwakali K. 8. Phillips A. 5. Shepherd J.
Coaches
Calderwood C.
Hourihane C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽, Kelly P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bradshaw T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
55', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
72', Guthrie J. ↓, List E. ↑,
72', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
73', Kelly P. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
80', Campbell D. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
84', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
87', List E. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
23
Barnsley
11
2
2
7
11:21
-10
8
Outrights of English League One for now
Barnsley: 0.23%
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Barnsley - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.04%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Burge L. (G) 
McCarthy C. 
Fornah T. 
Campbell D. 
McGeehan C. 
de Gevigney M. 
Bland J. 
Goodman O. (G) 
Nwakali K. 
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