Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 21

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Northampton Town		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.31	3.46	3.22
	2.31	3.46	3.22
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.26	3.36	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	3.11 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
41.7%

Draw
27.9%

Fleetwood Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Northampton Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thompson M. (G) 22. Odimayo A. 6. Sherring S. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 33. Brough P. 11. Pinnock M. 4. Sowerby J. 21. Leonard M. 17. McWilliams S. 7. Hoskins S. 19. Bowie K.	13. Lynch J. (G) 5. Lawal B. 18. Holgate H. 16. Heneghan B. 3. Montgomery A. 11. Broom R. 10. Mayor D. 4. Wiredu B. 8. Vela J. (C) 44. Patterson P. 14. Marriott J.
Substitutes
9. Appere L. 36. Dadge J. (G) 24. Haynes R. 23. Hondermarck W. 12. Monthe M. 16. Simpson T. 15. Willis J.	22. Dolan C. 21. Hayes C. 2. Johnston C. 30. McMullan S. (G) 9. Stockley J. 25. Teale C. 7. Tshimanga K.
Coaches
Brady J.	Johnson L.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1.

Recent matches Northampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fleetwood is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Northampton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
02.12.23	Northampton Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
28.11.23	Blackpool - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Northampton Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Northampton Town	3:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Northampton Town - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLW
- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Derby County - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town	4:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Stevenage Borough	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.01.21	Fleetwood Town - Northampton Town	0:0
01.12.20	Northampton Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0
24.03.18	Fleetwood Town - Northampton Town	2:0
12.08.17	Northampton Town - Fleetwood Town	0:1
25.02.17	Fleetwood Town - Northampton Town	3:0
06.08.16	Northampton Town - Fleetwood Town	1:1
English League Two
15.02.14	Fleetwood Town - Northampton Town	2:0

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