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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 9.8%
Draw 19.3%
Chelsea 71%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
9.6%
18.5%
72%
Our Initial ML Estimation
8.7%
16.7%
79.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
10.8%
75.9%
Norwich City - Chelsea Predictions
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 13.3%). Chelsea will win (votes: 63 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 66.7% – 85.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (71.38%), has project points - 25, has currently - 17, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Chelsea has the most likely position - 3 (79.15%), has project points - 79, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (99%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality67, small importance13, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0.
Norwich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chelsea is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.
In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.
Watch
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