Match Info

Championship - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Charlton Athletic		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.96	Watch
	3.56	3.56	2.03	Watch
	3.89	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.72	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.33)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
25.6%

Draw
26.8%

Coventry City
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.4%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	17.2%	69%

Charlton Athletic - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Coventry will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Coventry (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Charlton (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Charlton (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Coventry (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 32. Burke R. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 26. Rankin-Costello J. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 11. Leaburn M. 23. Kelman C.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 22. Latibeaudiere J. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 6. Grimes M. 27. van Ewijk M. 8. Allen J. 28. Eccles J. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 9. Simms E. 11. Wright H.
Substitutes
30. Apter R. 14. Carey S. 10. Docherty G. 37. Fullah I. 3. Gillesphey M. 36. Gough K. 41. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 22. Olaofe T.	54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 33. Brau M. 10. Mason-Clark E. 5. Rudoni J. 7. Sakamoto T. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Jones N.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Simms E. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
15', Kitching L. 🟨,
27', Burke R. 🟨,
43', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Berry L. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
62', Kesler-Hayden K. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
62', Eccles J. ↓, Rudoni J. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Rankin-Costello J. ⚽,
73', Knibbs H. 🟨,
84', Rankin-Costello J. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
86', Wright H. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
88', Kelman C. ↓, Gillesphey M. ↑,
89', Campbell T. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
90+5', Bree J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Charlton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coventry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Coventry is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Thomas-Asante B. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Thomas B. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Charlton: 0.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7:10	-3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
29.12.25	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTL
- Coventry City
English League Championship
29.12.25	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Coventry City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Southampton - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1
English League One
26.12.18	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	2:1
06.10.18	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	1:2
14.04.17	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	1:1
15.10.16	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	3:0

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