Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Villarreal		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.62
	2.75	3.3	2.5
	2.8	3.35	2.7
	2.7	3.3	2.65
	2.76	3.4	2.74
	2.75	3.4	2.55
	2.82	3.48	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.17)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)	2.65 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
35.1%

Draw
28.5%

Manchester United
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

19.9%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.2%	26.9%	38%

Villarreal - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 38 - 35.2%). Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 38%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 28.8% – 47.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Villarreal has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (35%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a good chance of round of 16 (66%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Man Utd has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (50%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.11.21	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Villarreal - Getafe	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Villarreal - Young Boys	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.21	Valencia - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
26.10.21	Villarreal - Cádiz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWLT
- Manchester United
English Premier League
20.11.21	Watford - Manchester United	4:1 ✺
06.11.21	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Atalanta - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
30.10.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
24.10.21	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Manchester United - Villarreal	2:1
UEFA Europa League
26.05.21	Villarreal - Manchester United	2:1 penalties

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