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Sunderland - Liverpool: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Sunderland Liverpool
    Sunderland Liverpool
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 4.33 3.8 1.75
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.48 ↓
    (5.35)    		 3.91 ↓
    (4.5)    		 1.77 ↑
    (1.58)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sunderland
    21.4%    		Draw
    24.5%    		Liverpool
    54.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    17.9% 21.3% 60.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    17.4% 20.7% 62.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    7.9% 18.4% 73.7%

    Sunderland - Liverpool Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 6 - 8%). Liverpool will win (votes: 56 - 74.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 17.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 64.9% โ€“ 84.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Sunderland (4.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
    • DC - Sunderland (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 5 - 20%). Liverpool (votes: 19 - 76%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    22. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G)
    20. FranceMukiele N.
      5. NorthernBallard D.
    15. ParaguayAlderete O.
    17. MozambiqueMandava R.
    27. DRSadiki N.
    28. FranceLe Fee E.
    32. NorthernHume T. (C)
    19. SenegalDiarra H.
    10. EcuadorAngulo N.
      9. NetherlandsBrobbey B.
    		  1. BrazilAlisson (G)
      3. JapanEndo W.
      5. FranceKonate I.
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C)
    26. ScotlandRobertson A.
    38. NetherlandsGravenberch R.
    10. ArgentinaMac Allister A.
    11. EgyptSalah M.
      7. GermanyWirtz F.
    18. NetherlandsGakpo C.
    22. FranceEkitike H.
    Substitutes
      3. EnglandCirkin D.
    31. SwedenEllborg M. (G)
      6. NetherlandsGeertruida L.
    18. FranceIsidor W.
    12. SpainMayenda E.
    14. EnglandMundle R.
    13. EnglandO'Nien L.
    11. EnglandRigg C.
      7. MoroccoTalbi C.
    		14. ItalyChiesa F.
      2. EnglandGomez J.
    17. EnglandJones C.
      6. HungaryKerkez M.
    25. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G)
    68. NorthernMorrison K.
    73. EnglandNgumoha R.
    42. EnglandNyoni T.
    47. ScotlandRamsay C.
    Coaches
         FranceLe Bris R.
    		     NetherlandsSlot A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 24', Mandava R. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 61', 0 - 1, van Dijk V. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
    • 69', Endo W. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
    • 75', Gakpo C. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
    • 80', Angulo N. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
    • 80', Hume T. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
    • 80', Alderete O. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
    • 88', Ekitike H. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
    • 90+2', Diarra H. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,

    Preview

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 0.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Ankle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury) Xhaka G. (Ankle Injury)
  • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Frimpong J. (Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Szoboszlai D. (Red Card)
  • There are questionable in Liverpool: Figueroa K. (Injury) Gomez J. (Injury)
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Liverpool: 7.96% Sunderland: 0.15%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    6Liverpool52307:439
    14Sunderland51136:10-44

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    English Premier League
    07.02.26 Arsenal - Sunderland 3:0 ✺
    02.02.26 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0 ✺
    24.01.26 West Ham United - Sunderland 3:1 ✺
    17.01.26 Sunderland - Crystal Palace 2:1 ✺
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Everton - Sunderland 1:2 penalties ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3
    LWLWW
    - Liverpool FC
    English Premier League
    08.02.26 Liverpool - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    31.01.26 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    28.01.26 Liverpool - QarabaฤŸ Agdam 6:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    24.01.26 Bournemouth - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    21.01.26 Olympique Marseille - Liverpool 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    LWWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    03.12.25 Liverpool - Sunderland 1:1
    02.01.17 Sunderland - Liverpool 2:2
    26.11.16 Liverpool - Sunderland 2:0
    06.02.16 Liverpool - Sunderland 2:2
    30.12.15 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1
    10.01.15 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1
    06.12.14 Liverpool - Sunderland 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Sunderland AFC
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Torreense - Sunderland ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion ✺
    - Liverpool FC
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 LASK Linz - Liverpool ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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    About TVEvents

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