Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: OPAP Arena (Athens)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	RTBF, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
France	CANAL+ Foot, C+ France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	SIC, Sport TV1
Slovakia	Kanal A
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Turkey	TV8 Turkey


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.25	2.3
	3.25	3.3	2.3
	3.34	3.31	2.35
	3.32	3.28	2.37
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.17	3.33	2.42
	3.25	3.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
29.6%

Draw
29.3%

Fiorentina
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

32.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.6%	23.9%	49.5%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 104 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 27 - 26%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 53 - 51%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 41.4% – 60.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 8. Iborra V. 56. Podence D. 6. Chiquinho 7. Fortounis K. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 2. Dodo 4. Milenkovic N. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 6. Arthur Melo 38. Mandragora R. 10. Gonzalez N. 5. Bonaventura G. 99. Kouame C. 20. Belotti A.
Substitutes
15. Alexandropoulos S. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 5. Horta A. 22. Jovetic S. 19. Masouras G. 74. Ntoi A. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 18. Quini 27. Richards O.	72. Barak A. 9. Beltran L. 53. Christensen O. (G) 32. Duncan A. 22. Faraoni D. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 8. Lopez M. 18. Nzola M. 65. Parisi F. 16. Ranieri L.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Podence D. 🟨,
42', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Belotti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
73', Fortounis K. ↓, Jovetic S. ↑,
74', Arthur Melo ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
77', Chiquinho ↓, Horta A. ↑,
79', Kouame C. 🟨,
82', Bonaventura G. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
82', Kouame C. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Ortega F. ↓, Quini ↑,
94', Jovetic S. 🟨,
95', Paschalakis A. 🟨,
99', Biraghi C. 🟨,
106', Podence D. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
106', Biraghi C. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
106', Gonzalez N. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
116', 1 - 0, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Hezze S. (A),
117', El Kaabi A. 🟨,
120+2', El Kaabi A. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - OPAP Arena.

Olympiacos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fiorentina will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Fadiga B. (Injury) Leidner D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Injury) Sottil R. (Broken collarbone)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
19.05.24	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:2 ✺
15.05.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.05.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
02.05.24	Aston Villa - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TWLWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
23.05.24	Cagliari - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
17.05.24	Fiorentina - Napoli	2:2 ✺
13.05.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.05.24	Club Brugge - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTL

Upcoming Matches