What is the expert prediction for Aston Villa vs Olympiacos Piraeus?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Aston Villa vs Olympiacos Piraeus. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Aston Villa vs Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 02, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Aston Villa		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8
	1.36	5.25	8
	1.35	5.45	7.9
	1.42	4.76	7.49
	1.37	5.26	8.38
	1.36	5.3	8
	1.36	5.2	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	5.21 ↑ (4.72)	8.08 ↑ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
69.8%

Draw
18.3%

Olympiacos Piraeus
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

17.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.7%	6.5%	4.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.83% – 96.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Olsen R. (G) 2. Cash M. 17. Lenglet C. 4. Konsa E. 12. Digne L. 27. Rogers M. 7. McGinn J. (C) 6. Douglas Luiz 19. Diaby M. 11. Watkins O. 31. Bailey L.	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 8. Iborra V. 6. Chiquinho 56. Podence D. 7. Fortounis K. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
3. Diego Carlos 24. Duran J. 18. Gauci J. (G) 47. Iroegbunam T. 71. Kellyman O. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 69. Munroe F. 14. Torres P. 64. Wright J. (G) 72. Young K. 22. Zaniolo N.	15. Alexandropoulos S. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 5. Horta A. 22. Jovetic S. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 70. Prekates V. 18. Quini 27. Richards O.
Coaches
Emery U.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
29', 0 - 2, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Diaby M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ortega F. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Diaby M. ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
56', 2 - 3, El Kaabi A. (Pen),
67', 2 - 4, Hezze S. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
70', Podence D. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
74', Rogers M. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
83', Diaby M. 🟨,
83', Rodinei 🟨,
84', Douglas Luiz (Pen),
84', Diaby M. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
85', Bailey L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Olympiacos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Martinez E. (Yellow Cards) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Foot Injury) Tielemans Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Fadiga B. (Injury) Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Masouras G. (Yellow Cards) Ntoi A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Moreno A. (Calf Injury) Zaniolo N. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
English Premier League
27.04.24	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.04.24	Lille - Aston Villa	2:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
14.04.24	Arsenal - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Aston Villa - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWWWW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
28.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Lamia	4:1 ✺
24.04.24	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.04.24	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 penalties ✺
11.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWWW

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