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Current Win Probability
Orenburg 43%
Draw 27.9%
Sochi 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
26.6%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
25.7%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Orenburg - Sochi Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Sochi (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Sochi (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 18. Moufi F. 44. Chichinadze A. 4. Khotulev D. 3. Vedernikov D. 37. Du Queiroz 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 16. Thompson J. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 7. Gurluk E. 30. Guzina G.
99. Dyupin Y. (G) 27. Zaika K. (C) 44. Stojic N. 3. Soldatenkov A. 28. Magal R. 29. Ezhov R. 20. Vasiljev D. 6. Saavedra I. 7. Zinkovskiy A. 8. Ignatov M. 45. Kamano F.
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 57. Bolotov E. 29. Bubanja V. 22. Gorelov P. 85. Ignatjev I. 8. Kamilov V. 38. Kasimov A. 88. Koserik N. 11. Oganesyan S. 2. Poroykov S. 9. Savelyev M. 99. Sysuev N. (G)
5. Aberdin N. 15. Agbalaka S. 59. Bart R. 35. Degtev A. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 4. Litvinov V. 88. Lomaev I. (G) 17. Makarchuk A.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.
Osinkin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Gurluk E. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
16', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
22', Ezhov R. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Ignatov M. (Own goal),
40', 2 - 1, Kamano F. ⚽, Vasiljev D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 3 - 1, Thompson J. ⚽,
75', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
75', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
75', Ezhov R. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
77', Khotulev D. 🟨,
78', Du Queiroz ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
78', Gurluk E. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
78', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
83', Guzina G. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
85', Thompson J. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
86', Saavedra I. 🟨,
90', Kamano F. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
90', Ignatov M. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
90+3', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 4.
Orenburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sochi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Orenburg has had a series of away games.
Orenburg might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Kosovo
Russia
Serbia
Watch
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Ovsyannikov B. (G) 
Moufi F. 
Chichinadze A. 
Du Queiroz 
Thompson J. 
Gurluk E. 
Guzina G. 
Stojic N. 
Kamano F. 
Bubanja V. 
Gorelov P. 
Agbalaka S. 
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