Match Info

Date: 12 January 2021, Tuesday


	Palmeiras		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.25
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.22
	3.07	3.7	2.28
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.25	3.66	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.44)	3.55 ↑ (3.29)	2.25 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
31.4%

Draw
26.6%

River Plate Montevideo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

21.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	17.9%	59%

Palmeiras - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 23 - 59%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 43.6% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Palmeiras in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
09.01.21	Sport Recife - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.01.21	River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.12.20	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.12.20	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.12.20	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWT
- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.01.21	River Plate Montevideo - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.01.21	River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.01.21	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
27.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Huracán - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.01.21	River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:3
14.04.16	Palmeiras - River Plate Montevideo	4:0
16.02.16	River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras	2:2

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