The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 37.3%
Draw 33.5%
Athletico Paranaense 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
30%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
22%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
1st leg.
Peñarol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Athletico PR is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.