Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Peterborough United		Derby County

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.35	3.2
	2.33	3.43	3.2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.5	3.06	Watch
	2.27	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.57)	3.38 ↑ (3.34)	3.07 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
41.5%

Draw
27.8%

Derby County
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Peterborough United - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilokapic N. (G) 30. Kioso P. 4. Edwards R. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 3. Burrows H. 11. Poku K. 22. Kyprianou H. 14. Randall J. 27. Collins A. 10. Mason-Clark E. (C) 9. Clarke-Harris J.	1. Wildsmith J. (G) 34. Rooney J. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 12. Smith K. 16. Thompson L. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 3. Forsyth C. 10. Waghorn M. 14. Washington C.
Substitutes
16. Ajiboye D. 8. De Havilland R. 17. Jones R.J. 5. Knight J. 25. Talley F. (G) 21. Tomlinson J. 19. Tshimanga K.	5. Bradley S. 9. Collins J. 20. Elder C. 22. Fornah T. 19. John-Jules T. 36. Radcliffe B. 31. Vickers J. (G)
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Warne P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 2.

Peterborough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Derby have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
19.08.23	Northampton Town - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Peterborough United - Swindon Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Reading - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Derby County
English League One
19.08.23	Derby County - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Derby County - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Burton Albion - Derby County	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Derby County - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Derby County - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.03.23	Peterborough United - Derby County	2:0
27.08.22	Derby County - Peterborough United	2:1
English League Championship
19.02.22	Derby County - Peterborough United	1:0
14.08.21	Peterborough United - Derby County	2:1
20.04.13	Derby County - Peterborough United	3:1
27.10.12	Peterborough United - Derby County	3:0
28.04.12	Derby County - Peterborough United	N/A

Upcoming Matches