Network on TV: ATT Sportsnet Southwest (Alternate)
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 56.9%
Draw 24.3%
Houston Dynamo 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
23.8%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
23.5%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.6%
2.1%
4.3%
Philadelphia Union - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
Philadelphia has the most likely position - 2 (43.58%), has project points - 63, has currently - 42, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a chance of first-round bye (34%), has a small chance of supporters shield (10%), has a chance of win league (16%).
Houston has the most likely position - 13 (22.43%), has project points - 38, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance13, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 3.
Philadelphia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Houston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Philadelphia is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Philadelphia to win the game is with odds 1.6.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
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