Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Besiktas Park (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Klani IM, RTSH Sport, SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	9Gem, 9Now, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+, RTL
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik
Bolivia	15:00	DAZN, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Max Sport 3, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	RIK 1
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	DAZN, ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, RTL, RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 1, Cosmote Sport 4K
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTK 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1, TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	We Sport
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	05:00	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	15:00	DAZN, ESPN
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	00:00	Futbol TV
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, GBC TV, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	00:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	15:00	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Freiburg		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	4.75	3.75	1.73
	5.5	4	1.65
	5.9	3.9	1.66
	5.77	3.92	1.66	Watch
	5	3.8	1.62
	5.69	4.13	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.69)	3.91 ↑ (3.78)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
17.6%

Draw
24.5%

Aston Villa
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.3%

25.1%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.9%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.2%	15.5%	77.3%

Freiburg - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 7 - 7.4%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 73 - 77.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 69.3% – 86.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Freiburg (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Freiburg (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Freiburg (3.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Aston Villa (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 29. Treu P. 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 19. Beste J. 44. Manzambi J. 32. Grifo V. (C) 31. Matanovic I.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 3. Lindelof V. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
30. Gunter C. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 6. Osterhage P. 26. Philipp M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D.	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 21. Douglas Luiz 9. Elliott H. 16. Garcia A. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T. 24. Onana A. 19. Sancho J. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Treu P. 🟨,
15', Buendia E. 🟨,
21', Cash M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Tielemans Y. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Buendia E. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, Rogers M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
61', Lienhart P. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
61', Hofler N. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
66', Lindelof V. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
73', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
73', Kubler L. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
81', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
81', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
84', McGinn J. 🟨,
86', Beste J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
88', Torres P. ↓, Mings T. ↑,
88', Tielemans Y. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Besiktas Park.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Suzuki Y. (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Muscle Injury) Barkley R. (Inactive) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Lindelof V. (Foot Injury) Onana A. (Calf Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Freiburg - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Hamburger SV - Freiburg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Freiburg - Braga	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
03.05.26	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Braga - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
15.05.26	Aston Villa - Liverpool	4:2 ✺
10.05.26	Burnley - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.05.26	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL

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