Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	23:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	15:00	CANAL+ France
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 2
Haiti	09:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	13:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport 3, SÝN Sport
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 1
Italy	15:00	Sky Sport MIX
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Myanmar	19:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	18:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:00	Sky Sport Select
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Pakistan	18:00	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	09:00	ESPN
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	14:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
South Africa	15:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	21:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Burnley		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.57
	5.25	4.1	1.61
	5.9	4.25	1.58
	5.9	4.35	1.57
	5.8	4.2	1.61	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.94	4.37	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (5.15)	4.21 ↑ (4.13)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
17.1%

Draw
22.7%

Aston Villa
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	10.3%	86.2%

Burnley - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.80) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (50 of 56 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.19% – 97.39%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Weiss M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 16. Florentino 8. Ugochukwu L. 17. Tchaouna L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 22. Maatsen I. 3. Lindelof V. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 6. Barkley R. 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
25. Amdouni Z. 27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 9. Foster L. 3. Hartman Q. 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 20. Ward-Prowse J.	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 12. Digne L. 21. Douglas Luiz 19. Sancho J. 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Jackson M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Anthony J. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Barkley R. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Mings T. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
60', Flemming Z. 🟨,
69', Mejbri H. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
74', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
74', Lindelof V. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
79', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
80', Flemming Z. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
80', Barkley R. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
80', Cash M. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
85', McGinn J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
87', Anthony J. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
88', Florentino ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Burnley is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.

Burnley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aston Villa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Muscle Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Onana A. (Calf Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.76%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English Premier League
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.04.26	Burnley - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.05.26	Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.04.26	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Aston Villa - Sunderland	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.10.25	Aston Villa - Burnley	2:1
30.12.23	Aston Villa - Burnley	3:2
27.08.23	Burnley - Aston Villa	1:3
19.05.22	Aston Villa - Burnley	1:1
07.05.22	Burnley - Aston Villa	1:3
27.01.21	Burnley - Aston Villa	3:2
17.12.20	Aston Villa - Burnley	0:0

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