Match Info

Date: 17 February 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	RB Leipzig		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.75
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.78	3.75	4.7
	1.75	3.65	4.7
	1.72	3.81	5.23
	1.78	3.6	4.6
	1.81	3.76	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	4.78 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
54.1%

Draw
25.8%

Real Sociedad
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	10.3%	4.8%

RB Leipzig - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (123 of 145 users predict this - 84.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.99% – 90.67%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

1st leg.

RB Leipzig has a good chance of round of 16 (64%), has a chance of qtrs (50%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a chance of final (19%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Real Sociedad has a chance of round of 16 (36%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has big quality 79, very big importance 99, big match rating 89. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

RB Leipzig is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of home games.

In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
11.02.22	RB Leipzig - Köln	3:1 ✺
05.02.22	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
23.01.22	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.01.22	RB Leipzig - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.01.22	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
13.02.22	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.22	Real Sociedad - Betis	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.01.22	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.01.22	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	RB Leipzig - Manchester City	✺
German Bundesliga
31.10.26	Schalke 04 - RB Leipzig	✺
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	✺

RB Leipzig - Real Sociedad