Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Sport TV2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, MEGOGO Sport, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.9	2.55	Watch
	2.2	4	2.85
	2.48	3.95	2.52
	2.56	4.04	2.59
	2.48	4.02	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.5
	2.62	4.05	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)	3.95 ↓ (3.99)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
38.8%

Draw
24.2%

RB Leipzig
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

23.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	26.1%	21.7%

Stuttgart - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 37.5% – 67.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 5 - 62.5%). RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - RB Leipzig (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Stuttgart (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Stuttgart (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.99) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 50%). RB Leipzig (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 14. Jaquez L. 3. Hendriks R. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 10. Fuhrich C. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Demirovic E. 26. Undav D.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 6. Banzuzi E. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 24. Chabot J. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 8. Tomas T.	9. Bakayoko J. 5. Bitshiabu E. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 10. Gruda B. 11. Harder C. 39. Henrichs B. 24. Schlager X. 25. Zingerle L. (G)
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Romulo Cardoso 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Undav D. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
64', Banzuzi E. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
68', Karazor A. 🟨,
69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
69', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
69', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
71', Seiwald N. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
71', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
71', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
81', Leweling J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
83', Schlager X. 🟨,
85', Karazor A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
88', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Vagnoman J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Back Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	4	6
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Stuttgart - Porto	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Mainz - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Stuttgart - Celtic	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLT
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
11.02.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1
17.05.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	2:3
German DFB Pokal
02.04.25	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	3:1
German Bundesliga
15.01.25	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	2:1
27.01.24	Stuttgart - RB Leipzig	5:2
25.08.23	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	5:1
27.01.23	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	2:1

Upcoming Matches