Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Comteco, Cotegua, Coteor, Inter Satelital
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Georgia	Silk Universal
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Racing		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.5	3	3.25	Watch
	2.52	2.96	3.34
	2.53	2.95	3.32	Watch
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.43	3.08	3.17	Watch
	2.5	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.45)	3 ↑ (2.98)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Racing
38.8%

Draw
31.7%

Cruzeiro
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

32.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Racing - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 27. Rojas G. 5. Nardoni J. 13. Sosa S. 32. Almendra A. E. 8. Quintero J. 9. Adrian Martinez 7. Salas M.	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 25. Villalba L. 43. Joao Marcelo 3. Marlon 29. Romero L. (C) 20. Walace 97. Matheus Henrique 10. Matheus Pereira 30. Gabriel Veron 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
4. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Carbonero J. 6. Colombo N. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 22. Rodriguez B. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S. 12. Vietto L. 36. Zuculini B.	98. Anderson (G) 21. Barreal A. 26. Diaz L. 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 16. Lucas Silva 7. Mateus Vital 33. Peralta F. 17. Ramiro 69. Takamura K. 2. Wesley Gasolina 5. Ze Ivaldo
Coaches
Costas G.	Fernando Diniz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Salas M. (A),
30', Walace ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
42', Romero L. 🟨,
45+3', Lucas Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Henrique (A),
56', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
59', Garcia A. 🟨,
75', Adrian Martinez ↓, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ↑,
78', Gabriel Veron ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
78', Romero L. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
81', Nardoni J. 🟨,
82', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
83', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
85', Marlon ↓, Takamura K. ↑,
87', Quintero J. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. ⚽, Nardoni J. (A),
90+6', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio General Pablo Rojas.

Racing in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.24	San Lorenzo - Racing	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Barracas Central - Racing	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Racing - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
31.10.24	Racing - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.10.24	Lanús - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.05.18	Cruzeiro - Racing	2:1
27.02.18	Racing - Cruzeiro	4:2

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