Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Raków Częstochowa		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.4	3.7
	2.08	3.55	3.65	Watch
	2.06	3.56	3.9
	2.01	3.56	3.9
	1.91	3.6	3.6
	1.99	3.62	3.76
	2.02	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	3.73 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
47.5%

Draw
26.9%

Atalanta
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	17.2%	27.6%

Raków Częstochowa - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). Atalanta will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 37.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 15. Kovacevic A. 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. (C) 30. Kochergin V. 5. Berggren G. 14. Plavsic S. 11. Yeboah J. 9. Zwolinski L. 27. Nowak B.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 33. Hateboer H. 43. Bonfanti G. 46. Del Lungo T. 3. Holm E. 25. Adopo M. 8. Pasalic M. (C) 21. Zortea N. 59. Miranchuk Al. 17. De Ketelaere C. 9. Muriel L.
Substitutes
77. Cebula M. 19. Crnac A. 93. Kittel S. 29. Mras T. 99. Piasecki F. 20. Silva J. C. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G)	51. Bonanomi A. 49. Ceresoli A. 99. Cisse M. 47. Colombo M. 52. De Nipoti T. 48. Manzoni A. 44. Mendicino L. 45. Palestra M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 40. Vismara P. (G)
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Gasperini G.

Preview

Atalanta is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Raków will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury) Gryszkiewicz A. (Knee Injury) Lederman B. (Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Papanikolaou G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Toure E. B. (Thigh Injury) Vorlicky L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Pestka K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Palomino J. L. (Muscle Injury) Scamacca G. (Groin Injury) Toloi R. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Raków won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.12.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
06.12.23	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.12.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Sturm Graz - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.11.23	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWT
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2 ✺
04.12.23	Torino - Atalanta	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.11.23	Atalanta - Napoli	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Udinese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Atalanta - Raków Częstochowa	2:0

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