The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 18.6%
Draw 26.1%
Bournemouth 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
28.7%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
19.7%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.
Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-25.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
5.2%
85.7%
Reading - Bournemouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bournemouth will win
(66 of 77 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.89% – 93.53%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Reading has the most likely position - 20 (7.24%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bournemouth has the most likely position - 1 (39.71%), has project points - 91, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (40%).
Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bournemouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Bournemouth is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Watch
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