Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 13

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Reading		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.4
	2.85	3.4	2.3
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.94	3.54	2.44
	2.94	3.54	2.44
	2.8	3.4	2.3
	2.83	3.48	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
33.1%

Draw
27.3%

Oxford United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	17.6%	47.1%

Reading - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Button D. (G) 17. Yiadom A. (C) 3. Holmes T. 32. Abbey N. 20. Dorsett A. J. R. 11. Azeez F. 29. Wing L. 36. Craig M. 7. Knibbs H. 10. Smith S. 42. Vickers C.	1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. (C) 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 6. McEachran J. 18. McGuane M. 7. Mills S. 8. Brannagan C. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
24. Bindon T. 15. Ehibhatiomhan K. 4. Elliott B. 27. Mbengue A. S. 12. Mukairu P. 22. Pereira J. (G) 8. Savage C.	12. Bennett J. 10. Bodin B. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 17. Henry J. 39. O'Donkor G. 14. Smyth O.
Coaches
Selles R.	Buckingham D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Reading is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oxford have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
09.12.23	Reading - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Reading - Charlton Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Eastleigh - Reading	2:1 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Reading - Carlisle United	5:1 ✺
25.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW
- Oxford United
English League One
09.12.23	Peterborough United - Oxford United	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Oxford United - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWTL

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