Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Fox Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
World	Disney+


	Real Estelí		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.25
	3.32	2.84	2.54
	3.35	2.67	2.55	Watch
	2.97	3.1	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	2.89 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF Central American Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
29.5%

Draw
32%

Alajuelense
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	85.7%	14.3%

Real Estelí - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vega J. (G) 3. Nino H. 27. Quijano J. (C) 19. Martinez E. J. 11. Hernandez B. 6. Ochoa I. 10. Medina H. 16. Vargas D. 18. Parra W. 21. Ordonez B. 7. Bonilla B.	23. Moreira L. (G) 26. Pinar F. 13. Gamboa A. 25. van der Putten S. 27. Lawrence I. 28. Navarro J. 5. Borges C. (C) 8. Angulo L. 11. Campos D. 97. Anderson Canhoto 19. Toril A.
Substitutes
23. Acevedo O. 13. Baez A. 26. Cunningham S. 17. Delgado J. 1. Forvis E. D. (G) 28. Gallego P. 34. Gutierrez J. 22. Salandia C. (G) 14. Salmeron I. 12. Talavera W. 2. Vallecillo F.	29. Aguilar D. 99. Alvarez J. (G) 3. James M. 2. Martinez C. 22. Matarrita R. 1. Mora B. (G) 42. Mora M. 9. Moya J. 16. Oviedo B. 34. Perez C. 10. Suarez A. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Vargas D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Borges C. (Pen),
41', Vega J. 🟨,
44', Anderson Canhoto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ordonez B. ↓, Baez A. ↑,
53', Baez A. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
54', Pinar F. 🟨,
61', Toril A. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
61', Anderson Canhoto ↓, Perez C. ↑,
62', Ochoa I. 🟨,
65', Hernandez B. ↓, Cunningham S. ↑,
68', Lawrence I. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
70', Perez C. 🟨,
74', Campos D. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑,
75', Vargas D. ↓, Bello O. ↑,
84', Navarro J. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
85', Pinar F. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Real Estelí is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Alajuelense is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Alajuelense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Estelí have a series of guest games.

Alajuelense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Estelí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Estelí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
20.11.24	Managua - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	5:1 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	3:4 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.10.24	Herediano - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
27.10.24	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTL
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.11.24	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	4:0 ✺
19.11.24	Alajuelense - Herediano	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Santa Ana - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Alajuelense - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.12.23	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	1:1
28.11.23	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	0:3
CONCACAF League
02.12.20	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	2:1
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.09.12	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	1:0
28.08.12	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	0:1

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