Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
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Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
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India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio
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Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Serbia	Arena Premium 3
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Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
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Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Real Sociedad		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.94	3.62	4.2
	1.9	3.53	4.22	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.9
	1.96	3.68	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	4.07 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
49.6%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo Alavés
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 6. Elustondo A. (C) 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 23. Mendez B. 8. Turrientes B. 18. Soler C. 7. Barrenetxea A. 24. Sucic L. 9. Oskarsson O.	1. Sivera A. (G) 7. Perez A. 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 24. Parada V. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 18. Guridi J. 11. Martinez T. 22. Diabate I.
Substitutes
46. Aguirre I. 38. Beitia L. 32. Fraga A. (G) 11. Guedes G. 19. Karrikaburu J. 14. Kubo T. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.	10. Alena C. 15. Boye L. 20. Calebe 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 16. Koski V. 27. Munoz E. 5. Pacheco J. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G) 3. Yusi
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Caleta-Car D. (Own goal),
14', 1 - 1, Sucic L. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Diabate I. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Sivera A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
54', Mendez B. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
59', Rebbach A. 🟨,
60', Diabate I. ↓, Boye L. ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
64', Kubo T. 🟨,
66', Perez A. 🟨,
66', Guridi J. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
66', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
72', Oskarsson O. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
86', Perez A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
86', Sucic L. ↓, Beitia L. ↑,
86', Elustondo A. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
90+2', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
90+3', Gomez S. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 3, Boye L. ⚽, Suarez D. (A),
90+9', Guedes G. 🟨,
90+10', Suarez D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real Sociedad is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Muscle Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Martin J. (Yellow Cards) Ochieng J. (Muscle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Protesoni C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Alaves: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.26	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	3:4 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0
23.04.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0
28.08.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.24	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	0:1
02.01.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:1

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