Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mauritius	00:00	MBC 11
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Lazio		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3.1
	2.45	3	3.1
	2.48	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.47	3.16	3.22
	2.49	3.14	3.18	Watch
	2.5	3	3
	2.34	3.18	3.45
	2.45	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
38.9%

Draw
31%

Real Sociedad
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	32.8%	12.1%

Lazio - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 29 - 53.7%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 40.4% – 67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Mandas C. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 30. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 6. Rovella N. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.	1. Remiro A. (G) 27. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 3. Munoz A. 14. Kubo T. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 24. Sucic L. 11. Becker S.
Substitutes
64. Balde M. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 94. Provedel I. (G) 20. Tchaouna L. 63. Zazza M.	7. Barrenetxea A. 6. Elustondo A. 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 9. Oskarsson O. 20. Pacheco J. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Baroni M.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gila M. ⚽, Castellanos T. (A),
7', Rovella N. 🟨,
12', Munoz A. 🟨,
30', Munoz A. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Isaksen G. (A),
34', 3 - 0, Castellanos T. ⚽, Tavares N. (A),
36', Mendez B. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
39', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
43', Tavares N. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castellanos T. ↓, Pedro ↑,
46', Kubo T. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
46', Zubimendi M. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
46', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
53', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
55', Isaksen G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
56', Zaccagni M. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
70', Aguerd N. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
76', Dia B. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Barrenetxea A. ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Yellow Cards) Lazzari M. (Injury) Patric (Injury) Pellegrini Lu. (Yellow Cards) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
19.01.25	Verona - Lazio	0:3 ✺
10.01.25	Lazio - Como	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Roma - Lazio	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Lazio - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lecce - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.01.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ponferradina - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

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