Match Info

Date: 19 March 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Rentistas		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.06	3.25	3.25
	2.15	3.51	3.52
	2.15	3.2	3.25
	2.22	2.99	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.43)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	3.4 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
43.5%

Draw
29.2%

Cerro
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

21.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rentistas's performance.

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rentistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rentistas - Cerro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Rentistas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.03.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
08.03.21	Rentistas - Progreso	1:3 ✺
01.03.21	Plaza Colonia - Rentistas	5:0 ✺
21.02.21	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
17.02.21	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.03.21	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3 ✺
06.03.21	Boston River - Cerro	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
22.02.21	Danubio - Cerro	2:1 ✺
17.02.21	Cerro - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.20	Cerro - Rentistas	0:2
20.09.20	Cerro - Rentistas	1:0
20.02.16	Rentistas - Cerro	0:0
29.08.15	Cerro - Rentistas	1:0
31.05.15	Cerro - Rentistas	2:0
22.11.14	Rentistas - Cerro	3:1
22.02.14	Rentistas - Cerro	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.10.26	Rentistas - La Luz	✺
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.10.26	Cerro - Central Español	✺

Rentistas - Cerro