Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Israel	Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Rio Ave		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.81	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.88	Watch
	4.05	3.72	1.95
	3.94	3.72	1.89	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	4.04	3.68	1.96	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.1)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
23.6%

Draw
26.3%

Famalicão
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Rio Ave - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 77. Richards O. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J. 18. Spikic D. 9. Monteiro T.	25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 55. Ba I. 3. Realpe L. 5. Rafa Soares 80. Santos P. 6. Van de Looi T. (C) 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 9. Abubakar U. 7. Sorriso
Substitutes
6. Abbey N. 22. Chamorro K. (G) 21. Graca J. 54. Liavas G. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 80. Pohlmann O. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J.	91. Almeida R. 18. Beney R. 12. Elisor S. 2. Garcia 77. Joujou A. 47. Pastor G. 8. Pena M. 30. Serafimovic V. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Vrousai M. 🟨,
45', Richards O. 🟨,
45+2', Sorriso 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Richards O. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
52', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
59', Abubakar U. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
70', Blesa J. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
79', Nikitscher T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
79', Spikic D. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
80', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
83', Tome J. 🟨,
85', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
90+2', Papakanellos A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.

Rio Ave is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Famalicão has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Famalicão is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury) Miszta C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O. (Knee Injury) De Haas J. (Yellow Cards) Pedro Bondo (Yellow Cards) Sa G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Famalicão: Pinheiro R. (Inactive) Rochinha (Inactive)

We predict that Famalicão will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Famalicão - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.75%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
22.02.26	Porto - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Rio Ave - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Braga - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Rio Ave - Arouca	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Nacional - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
23.02.26	Famalicão - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Gil Vicente - Famalicão	5:0 ✺
25.01.26	Famalicão - Tondela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
28.09.25	Famalicão - Rio Ave	0:0
10.03.25	Famalicão - Rio Ave	1:0
04.10.24	Rio Ave - Famalicão	1:1
16.02.24	Famalicão - Rio Ave	2:1
16.09.23	Rio Ave - Famalicão	1:1
26.05.23	Rio Ave - Famalicão	2:2
22.01.23	Famalicão - Rio Ave	0:0

Upcoming Matches