Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	River Plate Montevideo		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.6	6.75
	1.41	4.6	7
	1.36	4.7	7.8
	1.45	4.87	7.04
	1.33	4.4	8
	1.47	4.95	8.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)	4.66 ↑ (3.65)	7.34 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Fortaleza
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.7%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	10.4%	2.1%

River Plate Montevideo - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.

In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Alianza Lima - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
10.04.22	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.22	Fortaleza - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.04.22	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
31.03.22	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTW

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