Match Info

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday


	River Plate Montevideo		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.30	4.30
	1.53	3.86	5.56
	1.63	3.78	5	Watch
	1.50	3.75	5.45
	1.53	3.74	5.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.91)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)	5.13 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
57.6%

Draw
24.7%

Uruguay Montevideo
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uruguay Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

River Plate Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th and 14th).

River Plate has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Uruguay Montevideo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

River Plate carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, River Plate has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	23	9	6	8	35:29	6	33
14	Uruguay Montevideo	23	4	6	13	21:35	-14	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.10.26	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
14.10.26	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.10.26	River Plate Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	La Luz - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.10.26	Oriental de La Paz - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

River Plate Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide