Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Rodez		Monaco

	1	X	2
	5.25	5	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.46
	5.5	4.75	1.47	Watch
	6.01	4.92	1.49
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	6.1	4.85	1.47
	5.6	4.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.5)	4.73 ↑ (3.15)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
16.6%

Draw
19.8%

Monaco
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

26.3%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.1%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Rodez - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cibois S. (G) 4. Mambo Muzalijoma S. 3. Lipinski R. 6. Raux Yao S. 2. Buades L. 7. Younoussa W. 10. Taibi W. 8. Valerio A. 5. Boma K. 11. Arconte T. 9. Corredor K.	1. Majecki R. (G) 3. Matsima C. 4. Diop E. 5. Kehrer T. 2. Vanderson 8. Fofana Y. 6. Zakaria D. 11. Ouattara K. 9. Balogun F. 7. Golovin A. (C) 10. Ben Yedder W.
Substitutes
12. Abdallah A. 16. Crombez E. (G) 20. Depres C. 13. Garie H. 15. Haag G. 17. Hountondji A. 14. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 18. Rajot L. 19. Verdier Y.	15. Akliouche M. 12. Cartillier A. 17. Coulibaly M. 19. Efekele M. 16. Kohn P. (G) 14. Magassa S. 13. Maripan G. 18. Platret A.
Coaches
Santini D.	Hutter A.

Preview

Rodez in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monaco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
13.01.24	Rodez - Pau	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Challans - Rodez	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Annecy - Rodez	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Rodez - Amiens	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Stade Mayennais - Rodez	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTW
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
13.01.24	Monaco - Reims	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Lens - Monaco	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Toulouse - Monaco	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Monaco - Lyon	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Rennes - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
07.01.23	Monaco - Rodez	2:3 penalties

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