Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Rodina Moscow		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.06	1.41	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↑ (6.4)	4.73 ↑ (4.4)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
13.2%

Draw
19.5%

Spartak Moscow
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.1%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.6%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Rodina has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Spartak M is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rodina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rodina has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Spartak M has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Spartak M holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Rodina has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:11 (averaging 0.7:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rodina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Spartak Moscow: 16.07% Rodina Moscow: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1
Russian Premier League
25.07.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:0
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:5

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