Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
International	EuroLeague TV


	Roma		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6
	1.57	4.10	5.75
	1.52	4.1	6.1
	1.58	4.2	6.2
	1.58	4.25	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.1	6
	1.58	4.43	6.44
	1.55	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.33)	4.19 ↓ (5.18)	6.07 ↓ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
61.4%

Draw
22.9%

Genoa
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.3%

18.3%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.9%	3%	3%

Roma - Genoa Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Roma (1.57) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Roma will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Roma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Roma is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Cristante B. (Knee Injury) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Malen D. (Red Card) Svilar M. (Toe Injury).

Confirmed absences for Genoa: Colombo L. (Ankle Injury) Havel E. (Ankle Injury) Meichtry F. (Muscle Injury) Sow D. (Injury) Venturino L. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Genoa: Amorim (Ankle Injury) Otoa S. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Roma has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Roma against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:10 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
17	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 12.39% Genoa: 0.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Roma - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Como - Roma	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Roma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWT
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Rapid Bucureşti - Genoa	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Parma - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Genoa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1
17.01.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1
15.09.24	Genoa - Roma	1:1
19.05.24	Roma - Genoa	1:0
28.09.23	Genoa - Roma	4:1
Coppa Italia
12.01.23	Roma - Genoa	1:0

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