What is the expert prediction for Roma vs Lazio?

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Roma vs Lazio Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 05, 2025)

Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 19

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Roma		Lazio

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	3	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
	2.52	3.15	2.95
	2.6	3.3	2.88
	2.57	3.17	2.95	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
	2.57	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.55	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	2.99 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Roma
37.9%

Draw
30.1%

Lazio
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.8%	38.8%	22.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 26 - 38.8%). Lazio will win (votes: 15 - 22.4%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 38.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 27.1% – 50.5%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 15. Hummels M. 5. Ndicka E. 56. Saelemaekers A. 17. Kone M. 16. Paredes L. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 11. Dovbyk A.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 30. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 6. Rovella N. 18. Isaksen G. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 26. Dahl S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 22. Hermoso M. 28. Le Fee E. 89. Marin R. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M. 59. Zalewski N.	26. Basic T. 22. Castrovilli G. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Gigot S. 23. Hysaj E. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 20. Tchaouna L.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Saelemaekers A. ⚽,
32', Gila M. 🟨,
34', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
37', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
41', Castellanos T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
46', Isaksen G. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
54', Rovella N. 🟨,
67', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
67', Saelemaekers A. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
71', Dybala P. 🟨,
72', Dia B. 🟨,
74', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
74', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
78', Paredes L. 🟨,
79', Marusic A. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
89', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
89', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
90+5', Castellanos T. 🟥,
90+5', Ndicka E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Roma: Cristante B. (Ankle Injury) Ryan M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Thigh Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Celik Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Noslin T. (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Roma won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:24 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.8:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
29.12.24	Milan - Roma	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Roma - Parma	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.12.24	Roma - Sampdoria	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.12.24	Como - Roma	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Roma - Braga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
28.12.24	Lazio - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lecce - Lazio	1:2 ✺
16.12.24	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:6 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Ajax - Lazio	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.12.24	Napoli - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.04.24	Roma - Lazio	1:0
Coppa Italia
10.01.24	Lazio - Roma	1:0
Italian Serie A
12.11.23	Lazio - Roma	0:0
19.03.23	Lazio - Roma	1:0
06.11.22	Roma - Lazio	0:1
20.03.22	Roma - Lazio	3:0
26.09.21	Lazio - Roma	3:2

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