Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		Zira

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.78	3.05	4.00	Watch
	1.86	3.49	3.79	Watch
	1.72	3.40	4.55
	1.77	3.24	4.39
	1.85	3.30	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	3.28 ↓ (3.32)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
50.3%

Draw
27.6%

Zira
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sabah have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sabah - Zira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (C) 5. Dashdamirov R. 10. Isayev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 20. Mickels J. 17. Mutallimov T. 8. Nwachukwu C. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S.	13. Bayramov A. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 7. Aydin E. 20. Djibrilla I. 21. Guima 16. Ktatau 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 2. Seydiyev A. 17. Vieirinha 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
35. Bulus J. 37. Du Queiroz 88. Fernandes R. 33. Junior Almeida 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 11. Parris K. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R.	14. Alicanov E. 27. Bayere Junior L. 29. Chrismael D. 11. Guseynov A. 6. Hacyly H. 8. Ibrahimli I. 3. Legbo D. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 10. Papunashvili G. 72. Quliyev H. (G)
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Simic V. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Mickels J. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Ktatau 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽, Rakhmonaliyev U. (A),
45', Solvet S. ↓, Junior Almeida ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Seydiyev A. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
50', Junior Almeida 🟨,
51', 4 - 0, Nwachukwu C. ⚽,
57', 5 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
61', Guima ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
61', Volkovi D. ↓, Bayere Junior L. ↑,
61', Ktatau ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
66', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
66', Isayev A. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
66', Mickels J. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
69', Puchacz T. 🟨,
80', Mutallimov T. ↓, McCarthy A. ↑,
84', Aydin E. ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Zira has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sabah is considered a favorite.

We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
31.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:2 AET ✺
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Zira - İmişli	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zira - Şəfa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Zira - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Paide LM - Zira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
13.05.26	Sabah - Zira	2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2
31.01.26	Zira - Sabah	1:3
19.10.25	Sabah - Zira	3:0
17.05.25	Zira - Sabah	1:1
15.03.25	Sabah - Zira	1:1
20.10.24	Zira - Sabah	1:1

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