The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 44.5%
Draw 29.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
30.4%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
31.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sagan Tosu - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone J1 League (Relegation)).
Tosu has the most likely position - 11 (8.45%), has project points - 43, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Shimizu has the most likely position - 16 (11.89%), has project points - 36, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality29, importance40, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
Tosu will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Tosu won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.
Watch
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