Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Ground (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	23:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 8, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	15:00	Spiler2 TV
Iceland	13:00	SÝN, SÝN Sport 4
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	FOX One
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	19:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	18:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Pakistan	18:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 5, CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	14:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Action
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBCSN, NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Nottingham Forest		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.4	6.7
	1.48	4.65	7.4
	1.46	4.63	7.06	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.53	4.53	7.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	4.42 ↑ (4.13)	6.81 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
64.4%

Draw
21.6%

Burnley
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	15.7%	5.9%

Nottingham Forest - Burnley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Burnley (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 29. Bakwa D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 21. Hutchinson O. 11. Wood Ch.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 16. Florentino 10. Edwards M. 8. Ugochukwu L. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
9. Awoniyi T. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 19. Igor Jesus 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 25. Netz L. 27. Ortega S. (G) 22. Yates R.	27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 9. Foster L. 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 17. Tchaouna L. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Murillo ↓, Cunha ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Bakwa D. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽,
64', Edwards M. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
75', Florentino 🟨,
76', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
76', Wood Ch. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Yates R. (A),
80', Walker K. 🟨,
83', Anthony J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
84', Florentino ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
84', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
88', Hutchinson O. ↓, Morato ↑,
89', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
90+8', 4 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Dominguez N. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.

Nottingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nottingham is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) Hudson-Odoi C. (Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Anderson E. (Personal Reasons) Murillo (Injury) Wood Ch. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Nottingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Nottingham	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Porto	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Porto - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Midtjylland - Nottingham Forest	1:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTWW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fulham - Burnley	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Everton - Burnley	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.09.25	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:1
19.05.24	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:2
18.09.23	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	1:1
English League Cup
30.08.23	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	0:1
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	1:1
English League Championship
23.02.16	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:0
20.10.15	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	1:1

Upcoming Matches